Market turmoil in the past two years delivered various shocks to investors. Some are uncertain about the way forward.
If you did this exercise with the S&P 500, which closed at 455 on the day of Lynch’s talk, then you’d get 3 778 assuming an 8% compound annual growth rate. The S&P closed at the time of writing significantly higher than that at 4 500. I have picked out three important elements of what Lynch said, that are critical for investors to understand:
This stands in contrast to the risks everyone has been talking about, like inflation and tighter monetary policy. These risks had investors concerned for months before those fears were confirmed, and the actual news eventually had a limited effect on market volatility as it was priced in. Big selloffs are normal and corrections are healthy, whilst it may not seem so at the time. The S&P 500 experiences an average max drawdown of 14% a year.
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