The mining industry has a widowmaker reputation that has certainly been earned. Just as things start to look exciting, they often crash down to Earth. The right time to buy mining stocks is usually when nobody else wants them. The right time to get rid of them is when people start adding them to long-term portfolios.
Sales volumes are down 20% because the prior period enjoyed unusually high work-in-progress stock at the start of the period. The combined impact is ugly, with headline earnings per share down between 40% and 50%. Anglo American offers a smoother earnings profile than the underlying portfolio companies because it is exposed to a wider basket of commodities.
Before you wonder why everyone was excited about commodities in the past year, it’s worth highlighting that these share price drops are mitigated to some extent by high dividends. The steel industry is exposed to a global slowdown in demand, so ArcelorMittal is doing everything in its power to achieve efficient production results. The share price is down 27% this year and trades at one of the lowest price/earnings multiples you’ll ever see: just over 1x!As we now know, MTN is looking to make a play for Telkom. The latter’s board has been beefed up with some impressive director appointments, including Brian Kennedy and Mteto Nyati . This is certainly one to keep an eye on.
Strategically, the company has established a “TowerCo” internally, which suggests that it may go down a road of spinning out the towers business to improve return on capital for shareholders. We’ve seen other telecoms businesses follow this strategy.
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