Canada’s largest bank has downgraded its outlook for the housing market and now forecasts a “historic correction,” worse than any national decline seen in this country in the past 40 years.has put the Bank of Canada on a course of aggressive hikes that will take its policy rate to restrictive levels by the fall, wrote RBC assistant chief economist Robert Hogue in the report that came out Friday.
The 42% drop in home sales from the peak in early 2021 will exceed the declines seen in the past four national downturns, Hogue said. In 1981-82 and again in 1989-1990 sales fell 33%; they fell 38% in 2008-09 and 20% in 2016-2018. RBC expects the Bank’s policy rate to reach 3.25% by October — “a big bite for borrowers to swallow that will spoil or delay homeownership plans for many buyers.”
In Quebec, RBC sees home sales falling 16.8% by the end of 2022 and down 6.1% in 2023. Prices are expected to end 2022 7.5% higher than the year before and but then decline 5.1% in 2023.
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Posthaste: Canada's housing market headed for 'historic correction,' says RBCDownturn will be worse than any seen in the past 40 years Ah schucks… all those off shore “investors” in Vancouver and Toronto are gonna lose money? That’s just horrible. It may correct a one off or rural sale and it may slow down for a while but when half a neighborhood has sold for X.......that number will always be the base starting point give or take a little. Someone will pay it too. Worthless by 2030
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Posthaste: Canada's housing market headed for 'historic correction,' says RBCDownturn will be worse than any seen in the past 40 years
Source: fpinvesting - 🏆 43. / 63 Read more »
Posthaste: Canada's housing market headed for 'historic correction,' says RBCDownturn will be worse than any seen in the past 40 years About time. Real question. Is 15% to 29% drop in housing prices, peak to trough, a big deal if housing prices over last two years doubled? 12% drop from the peak.... historic? dramatic? worst in 40 years 🤣🤣? Oh pleeze
Source: financialpost - 🏆 7. / 85 Read more »
Posthaste: Canada's housing market headed for 'historic correction,' says RBCIt expects home sales to fall nearly 23% this year and 15% next year, and national benchmark prices to drop more than 12% from peak to trough by Q2 of 2023
Source: YahooFinanceCA - 🏆 47. / 63 Read more »
Posthaste: Canada's housing market headed for 'historic correction,' says RBCCanada's housing market headed for 'historic correction,' says RBC via financialpost Canada housingmarket financialpost Let's hope. financialpost A lot of people about to go bankrupt financialpost Some honorable chimpanzee politicians/policy makers have invested in real estate directly or indirectly via their siblings, relatives or friends, & these honorable chimpanzees want to fix the real estate problem! What a joke!
Source: VancouverSun - 🏆 49. / 61 Read more »
Canada’s housing market faces ‘historic correction’ that could see sales drop 42%, RBC saysCanada’s largest bank predicts home prices could drop by more than 12% early next year and unit sales could drop 42% between early 2021 by end of next year, making it the worst slump since the early 1990s. Good Sales drop. Ok. And prices? I don’t care what kind of price correction is coming, it’s never going to undo the damage that has already been done. The big cities are now forever unaffordable.
Source: TorontoStar - 🏆 60. / 55 Read more »