was the first to report on the findings, which seem to suggest that Russian President Vladimir Putin's war in Ukraine could have costly political consequences back home.
The survey found that 46% of the 167 experts surveyed, who come from academic, non-profit, governmental, and consultancy backgrounds, anticipate Russia's collapse within the next decade. The survey found that 40% of those surveyed foresee Russia breaking up internally within the next 10 years because of"revolution, civil war, political disintegration," or another reason.
Just over a fifth considered Russia to be the most likely country to become a failed state within the next decade, more than double the next highest choice: Afghanistan. "Ukraine clearly highlights the possibility of internal problems for Russia, and the possibility that the war itself might have boomerang effects for not only its leadership but for the country as a whole," Peter Engelke, the Atlantic Council's deputy director of foresight, told The Financial Times.
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