This forecast is still a 7.7% year-on-year drop, primarily due to the expiry of the sales and service tax holiday grace period and macroeconomic headwinds amid an uncertain global recovery.
“We see the government’s decision to defer new open-market value excise-duty regulations by two years from 2023 to 2025 as helping to contain the rise in average selling prices and sustain demand in 2023,” CGS-CIMB Research noted. Consequently, for the final quarter of 2022 , the sector posted a record quarterly TIV of 203,758 units, exceeding the previous record of 190,056 units in 4Q21.
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