"We downgrade Japanese stocks on policy uncertainty and a worsening economic environment," BlackRock's research arm said Monday, before the government submitted its central bank picks to parliament. It also said the possibility that the central bank could scrap its yield curve control program will push global yields higher and reduce risk appetite.
Recent declines in earnings growth estimates suggest the Japanese economy may slow down, BlackRock added.in the final quarter of 2022 on an annualized basis. While it technically averted a recession, the rebound was smaller than expected. U.S. Treasury yields spiked, with the 10-year note and the 30-year note jumping 7 and 8 basis points respectively. European government bonds also sold off, including Germany's 10-year bund.Kazuhiro Nogi | Afp | Getty Imageshit its highest level in 41 years in December. The nation is scheduled to release its inflation print for January on Feb. 24.
"Regardless of who takes over, we think the wage and inflation dynamics at play mean the current policy stance has likely run its course," they wrote.One possibility is the Bank of Japan further widening its tolerance range beyond 50 basis points. BlackRock noted the yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond has surpassed its limit. It last remained unchanged at 0.5% – the upper ceiling of the band.
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