Yes – there are plenty of economic questions to worry about when it comes to the 2024 election – and that’s aside from which candidate is getting shot at and which isStocks typically surge in the back halves of election years. Wild and wacky won’t change that. Party, personality – and yes, even potential economic policies – also aren’t key. showed you election years are typically strong for stocks, with 11.4% average S&P 500 returns since 1925. But averages aren’t ceilings.
Can debate stumbles, assassination attempts and more stoke second-half uncertainty? Maybe, but unlikely. Post-debate, poll numbers stabilized fast. Post assassination attempt? Stocks kept rising. That distracts from where it matters most: the six traditional swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin….and especially Pennsylvania. The best new website for market analysis, by far, is: . It lets you play “what if” games unlike any prior website .
For now, enjoy far-flung histrionics and a great stock market 2024. Wackiness won’t go away. But the bull market should thrive through 2024.