Bear market may end in early 2023: Morgan Stanley’s Wilson

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Mike Wilson, while pivoting to a more positive view from earlier in the year, made clear that if the S&P 500 drops through 3650, all bets are off.

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, a well-known stock market sceptic who correctly predicted this year’s slump, believes the bear market in US equities may conclude sooner than investors think.

“All of this is subject to revision. I want to make clear, if the market starts trading off again and the SThe S&P 500 was trading at 3878 at midday in New York overnight.Wilson, who was ranked the best portfolio strategist in the latest Institutional Investor survey, said a 19 per cent slump in the SP 500 Index this year has left it testing support at its 200-week moving average of around 3600, which could lead to a technical recovery.

Not all strategists are hopeful that US equities will bottom soon. Goldman Sachs Group strategists said in a note to clients on Tuesday that conditions for a trough aren’t visible yet as stocks don’t fully reflect the latest rise in real yields and odds of a recession.

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