Business Maverick: Wheat soars in risk to food inflation as India restricts exports

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Wheat jumped by the exchange limit after India’s move to restrict exports, exposing just how tight global supplies are after the war in Ukraine and threatening to drive up food prices even more. Now, India has announced it will suspend overseas sales to...

This drew criticism from the agriculture ministers of the Group of Seven nations, who said that such measures make the world’s crisis worse.

The surprising thing is that India isn’t even a prominent exporter on the world stage. The fact that it could have such a major impact underscores the bleak prospect for global wheat supplies. War has crippled Ukraine’s exports, and now droughts, floods and heat waves threaten crops in most major producers.

India’s decision to halt wheat exports came as a record-breaking heat wave parched the crop during a crucial period, spurring estimates of slumping yields. The output risk created afor India, which has tried to fill the gap as the shortfall in Ukraine’s exports push buyers toward alternative origins.

India will approve exports to countries that require wheat for food security needs and based on the requests of their governments. It will also allow shipments for which irrevocable letters of credit have been issued. Its supplies“Directing the wheat exports through government channels would not only ensure fulfilling the genuine needs of our neighbours and food-deficit countries, but also control inflationary expectations,” India’s food ministryThat view may be called into question.

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