Stock market bears may have the calendar on their side until the election

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Ryan Detrick Notícia

Stock Market,Seasonal Patterns,Market Activity

The calendar can offer investors clues about where the market could be headed next.

Investors love patterns. Whether charting technical indicators or dissecting an earnings report, finding themes that repeat can offer investors a sense of predictability amid chaotic markets.Seasonality, as it's called, refers to predictable and recurring changes in markets that tend to happen at the same time every year.

Toward the end of October, things tend to turn around, on average, and stocks often rise into year-end, capped off by the much-vaunted"Historically, when August is down, it tends to really be down more than any other month," Detrick said, citing significant events such asThe chart below was created by averaging the monthly closing VIX levels from 1990 — the beginning of the index's calculations — through 2023.

"It’s important to remember that scary headlines and pullbacks are normal in most years," Detrick said. 'Skincare' starring Elizabeth Banks: Director Austin Peters gives you more than 'fake Hollywood' in new film

 

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