'Someone will get hurt': Investors and analysts warn on rising market stress

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Big swings across asset markets are raising the risk of a financial accident. Read more.

“The velocity of things breaking around the world … is obviously a ‘neon swan’ telling us that we are clearly now in the market accident stage,” said Charlie McElligott, a strategist at Nomura Holdings Inc.Article content

“When financial conditions tighten this much, everyone is looking for who or what will be the cause for central banks to blink,” said Michael Edwards, deputy chief investment officer of hedge fund Weiss Multi-Strategy Advisers LLC. “ is determined to get financial conditions tighter, and the economy is very strong … they have to use funding markets as the transmission mechanism. So, someone will get hurt.

Conditions have been deteriorating all year, but until lately, it has been evident primarily in the stock market where valuations have dropped precipitously as borrowing costs have risen and the prospects of growth have been slashed.Article content “This is a story about boiling lobsters. You put them in cold water and slowly turn the heat up,” said George Goncalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at MUFG Bank Ltd. “That is what is happening in markets. The Fed is turning up the heat. But because the market is still flush with liquidity, it’s not yet clear where the weakness is.”Article contentJPMorgan Chase & Co.

The corporate bond market is also showing increasing signs of strain, according to Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann, Livian, Fridson Advisors LLC.Article content

 

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