Stocks are on a seemingly unstoppable hot streak, but this bond-market 'tipping point' could see it end in a hurry

The S&P 500 index is on the verge of a fifth straight monthly gain in July. It’s a reality that few on Wall Street expected just eight months ago.

With so many reconsidering their assumptions about markets and the economy, one analyst who has been bullish for months sees an opportunity to reflect on what Wall Street got wrong in 2023 — and by doing so, pinpoint potential existential threats to the rally that may lie ahead. “I think the 10-year yield is heading toward 5%. But the nuanced take here is the path higher is not troublesome…however, at some point, we’ll reach a level that’s too much,” Mian added during a phone interview with MarketWatch.Past the point of no return The Federal Reserve pushed its policy interest-rate to its highest level in 22 years earlier this week, and further hikes certainly could push long-dated bond yields higher, Mian said.

Higher yields make bonds more attractive to investors, helping to dim the appeal of stocks, but they also increase borrowing costs for corporations, potentially cutting into profits and pushing companies to lay off employees or enact other belt-tightening measures.

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