Stock futures moving slightly higher this morning, building on last week's gains that saw the Dow close at a record high on Friday.
Stocks coming off a record setting week as Fed officials defend the central bank's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. I mean, if you think historically in a soft land, you would have, you know, 12 or three rate cuts in a recession, you have 500 basis points or rate cuts. It leads us to the view that maybe gold needs a bit of a pause in its rally, or even a bit of give back, and it leads us to the view that within the equity market, the market is rotating away from tech, and at the moment it's rotating a bit to defences.So that's kind of how we're thinking about things.
OK, Stacey, you gotta give us your assessment here, especially as all eyes are on Intel this morning, both from an investment point and potentially from a takeover point as well.So there were some new stories at the very tail end of the day on Friday that suggest that indicated that Qualcomm might be thinking about making a bid for the company, so I don't I don't know.
Buying a national champion may Maybe Maybe that makes it easier in the US, but I don't see any reason why China would go after this.And a weaker US semiconductor manufacturing base is probably a positive for China.You, you, you, your your listeners may not.Like, like, structure that it shouldn't have got approved, but China did not approve it.They just sat on it for almost two years for 20 months until they just couldn't wait any longer.
It's positive, and the negative goes to the chip stocks here, So I also want to compare large cap tech to unprofitable tech. That's right, and more economic commentary from the campaign trails Former President Trump will deliver his remarks on tax proposals Tuesday, while Vice President Kamala Harris set to give a speech this week outlining her vision for the US economy.All right, we'll keep right here on Yahoo Finance coming up.You can scan the QR code below to track some of the best and worst performing stocks of the session with Yahoo Finance's trending tickers page.
Yeah, you know, it would be interesting to see whether or not this actually comes to fruition because they did reach out to the two companies for comment. It's in the Silicon oasis, which is Dubai or the UAE big pitch for getting some of the companies most focused on cutting edge technology. The firm saying competition in the A I space has caught up to Microsoft and his lead in the cloud and co generation finished.I can't combine those two words there, so he's saying that some of the leadership there has diminished it for Microsoft, moving forward specifically, some of that competition.
The firm saying that it's time for the stock to consolidate its gains and adjust to its current valuation now. It's up more than 100 24% so far exceeding the market gains that we've seen on a broad basis here, uh, and leading the pack in many regards. It looks like you have some dignitaries ringing the opening bell and then additionally, you also have the NASDAQ, the building, the future summit new system, ring the opening bell there, and just like that, we are off to the races on this, a new trading week and I believe the last full trading week of September as well here.
It's just been drifting lower for a very long time and kind of been bouncing off the lower end of the channel and then bouncing down for the upper end of the channel. So I think we will begin to see the broader market beginning to outperform relative to the mega caps.If we look at the past 20 rate cycles that have been since 1957 you can see that only three paths led to a negative return in the subsequent two years.All the other path led to a positive return, and actually, the median past was actually quite positive.
But it really particularly the big consumer items that are being holding back, and that's obviously tied to interest rates.So so that's one of the sectors that we think could could come back to favour as we go forward from here.
But it feels like there's already been so much over exuberance in this a I thematic trade that's benefited tech more broadly here. That this could pose to this could be a risk here, uh, for the equity markets, at least in the short term. We speak to an analyst on what's next for the precious metal that's coming up on morning Brief gold hovering.I data out later this morning the precious metal reaching those all time highs following the feds a 50 basis point cut last week to discuss whether or not we're headed higher or if there are risks ahead that investors should keep in mind for gold.So let's talk about where we're trading right now.
How much of that is is predicated in in gold going higher from these levels, predicated on the fed aggressively cutting or continuing to cut.I mean, uh, gold does have a history of, uh, rallying during fed, uh, rate cutting cycles. But with that in mind, you're also watching some of the central bank actions that, uh as they're initiating or or thinking about cutting and that policy pathway there.Specifically, what type of buying power or or buying.And really, And you've hit one on one of the really seismic changes in the gold market in the past few years.Last year, they bought about 1030 tonnes of gold.So you can imagine this has absorbed a great deal of demand.
And by the way, this bottom access here you can see the day of the year so pretty far into the year in 2020 is when we did see that Bitcoin rally following the results of that November election. The thing I want to leave you guys with is that what's different this time around versus what we saw in that prior chart is that Bitcoin was previously coming off of lows within a bull rally so you can see that there was a big dip prior to the rally.
We think there's a risk that will announce additional capital requirements during its October C MD that coming from the analysts at Bernstein and so ultimately being concerned about that. They said during a tweet or A, they're experiencing a significant IT outage when they first reported this and it seems like the issues have been resolved as quickly as possible.You're always you're always annoyed if you're or at least I should say, I'm always quite yeah, you know, that also fully describes our personalities, I think, to a T as well coming up.We'll dive into the latest in the services sector and what it could say no for the feds path forward.
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