Citi strategist Robert Buckland said in a note earlier this month that global stocks have gained 7% on an annualized rate since 2010, which is how much dividends have gone up in that time.Based on estimated dividend growth, global equities should return 13% over the next two years, Citi estimates.Want to know where the stock market is going? Just track dividends, a strategist at Citi Research says.
Buckland notes that dividends across global equity markets have increased by 7% on an annualized basis since 2010. Global stocks have also grown at an annualized rate of 7% in that time. "Sure, sometimes share prices run ahead of dividends and sometimes they lag. But these decouplings don't last too long," Buckland said. "The overall historical message is clear: get dividends right and you will get share prices right."
But their long-term forecasting method should be much simpler than that and not account for short-term volatility, Buckland says.
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Requires segmenting, but certainly holds true for consistent payers.
Bullshit. These guys lie so fools invest and then they lose their money to inside traders in after hours trading. The stock market is has been turned into a scam by criminals.
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