Wang Ying | Xinhua News Agency | Getty Images
and sent stock futures reeling as traders bet this was the reliable recession indicator and the one to watch. The market rallies more than 15% on average in the 18 months following the inversion, only thereafter turning downward. Sequential losses can start to add up after 18 months, Golub's analysis showed. Yields fall as bond prices rise.
"The BofAML US Economics team suggests that recession risks are rising. The 3-month T-Bill vs the 10-year T-Note curve has already inverted and the risk is that the 2s10s curve inverts as well," BofA technical strategist Stephen Suttmeier.
Just in time for my retirement. Thanks deplorables.
Right around election time....
Ya know. It REALLY seems different this time. This may be a European-Induced Inversion. Not of OUR creation. Which doesn't mean a Recession isn't on it's way. Maybe the timining is cockeyed, however.
stut up you permabull charlatans - there is NOTHING typical about this cycle - rates are at unprecedentedly low levels globally and thanks to QE NOBODY has any idea what will happen next and in what timeframe
The inversion is not Telegraphing a recession. It is being created by Currency manipulations by Germany and China. (Who coincidentally both would pay almost anything to have Donal Trump lose the next election, they don’t like America first at all)
the 2/10 inverted...wow didn't see that coming. Wake up people
Look up Don’t fear the yield curve
Oh well perfect timing for trump either way. If he loses (Lol yeah right) he can say see you elected a socialist and then boom right away recession. If he wins then who cares if there’s a recession because we still have trump and he will keep yelling at libs.
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