Navigating an ever more uncertain investment space

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Some of the most chaotic economic times in history have shown that markets can recover and still grow in the aftermath – the same can be said of a resilient investment portfolio.

I am currently rereading The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed and Happiness by Morgan Housel. It is a book that I strongly recommend to every individual; it’s a quick and great read. In the book, Housel explores the “strange” ways people think about money and the role of luck and risk in one’s financial success. In this article, we will focus on risk.

However, despite all these events, the S&P 500 index, which tracks 500 of the largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the US, is at an all-time high . This year was the first time ever it broke through the 5,000 mark. This year we are also heading into the changing tides of an interest rate cycle, with the first global and local rate cuts expected in the second quarter of the year. This will influence cash and bond exposure within a portfolio once again. The fears of recessions globally are also still a topic of concern for many investors, and many large firms are laying off thousands of employees.

When it comes to navigating the markets and ensuring a resilient investment portfolio, we need to first define what we see as “risk” and consider the strategy we are following.

 

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