US macro, earnings are 'a bigger influence' on markets than election: Citi

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US macro, earnings are 'a bigger influence' on markets than election: Citi

Investing.com -- As the U.S. election approaches, Citi analysts report that markets are not following the typical patterns seen in previous election cycles, suggesting that U.S. macroeconomic indicators and corporate earnings are exerting a greater influence than election-related factors.

Additionally, instead of the usual defensive shift toward Quality stocks, Growth and Price Momentum have outperformed, indicating “no style de-risking,” as Citi highlights. According to Morgan Stanley, investors should “compare ‘what’s in the price’ to the ‘plausible policy path,’” as short-term moves tend to be “noisy” and can mislead investors.

The bank adds that in recent months, the primary market dynamics have been influenced by macro events rather than politics. As Citi puts it, “other risks, such as U.S. macro, reporting season etc., are having a bigger influence than any perceived election risks.”Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors.

 

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