Chinese COVID cases expected to peak at 3.7 a day by Jan. 13, with daily deaths reaching 25,000: health-data company forecast

China is facing a first peak of new COVID infections on Jan. 13, when it will record 3.7 million in a day, according to Airfinity, a U.K.-based predictive health analytics data company.

The company is expecting Chinese fatalities to rise about 10 days after that to about 25,000 a day, bumping the total since a surge of cases started in December to 584,000. Airfinity is forecasting 1.7 million COVID deaths across China by the end of April. The government also changed the way it records COVID deaths to include only those who die from respiratory failure or pneumonia after testing positive.

The U.S., by comparison, has had 101.3 million confirmed COVID cases and 1,096,751 deaths, the Johns Hopkins tracker shows. That’s the most of any country in the world.

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