History says this surging sector could remain a market winner in spite of trade war whipsaws

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Consumer discretionary was the second-best performing sector through the first four months of the year. Based on market history dating back to 1990, that's a good sign for the rest of 2019.

Consumer discretionary was the second-best performing sector through the first four months of the year with a return of about 22 percent.

Since 1990, when consumer discretionary has gained at least 15% from January through April, the sector has always been positive through the remainder of the year, according to a CNBC analysis of Kensho, a machine-learning tool used by Wall Street banks and hedge funds to mine potential trading profits from historical market data.The Vanguard consumer discretionary ETF has been one of the hottest sector bets with investors among U.S. equity funds, taking in near-$200 million in assets in May.

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