Market takeaways, consumer sentiment, retail sectors: Asking for a Trend

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The S&P 500 (^GSPC) is currently on its longest winning streak since November of 2023, with the index nearing its last all-time high seen in July of this...

) is currently on its longest winning streak since November of 2023, with the index nearing its last all-time high seen in July of this year. This renewed confidence is thanks in part to a recent slew of positive economic data that has been nudging the Federal Reserve toward cutting interest rates in September.

And as long as the consumer is wrong in their belief in the economy, they will continue to drive our retail economy. If you got that traditional cut of 25 Naveen, what in your opinion, would that mean for the consumer? Well, the grocery record sector is the one that contains to drive development and investment interest across the USA.Besides the grocery record sector, I al also see the F and B sector continue to expand and grow.

So to me, I look at middle class America saying we wanna go to a Kroger anchor shopping center, H and B anchor shopping center, a public shopping center and do as much of our shopping there as we can.Well, JL AJ LL did our back to school survey by consumers back in June and July.Again that just keeps telling me that the retailers have got smart about making sure they get the right inventory, the right mix and the right time for the consumer.

And so really, what's been driving that is sort of the confidence that we've gotten in the economic data.We were two weeks ago, the market words like inflation jobs, retail sales, they said, OK, maybe the economy coming in off the, coming in better, right?But let's take a look at the 10 day again, you can see here the big leader really was tech, right?So you've really seen a chug higher in tech and now you look at this set up.

A lot of times remember this is a speech where Chair Powell uses it to explain other things happening in the economy and it's not necessarily a, it's not the Wednesday press conference we get every six weeks.We're back to people expecting 25 bids in September stock market looks happy.I think NVIDIA earnings next week is one of the key catalysts that people are looking at for a pure market story is that A I story we'll be watching third one.

It's one of the many things that they're using when they look at the recession, probability including the retail sales figures as well that we got over the past couple of weeks. A few years later, when we realized we were one of the last factories in America and the only union shop in America.So I knew that, uh, that, that this was going on and he was doing this, I mean, this, this run is, is pretty interesting of these Harris walls hats as well because I guess they sort of took a cue from some Chapel Roan hats and you didn't design them.

An additional factor that's helped hat sales has been that a lot of photography now is done by drone and that's all you see is baseball hats. You've got unions, you've got nonprofits that don't want any of their merchandise to be made in countries that uh allow things to go on that they're uh messaging against.And there's also a cyclicality in it.

 

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