“For money you wouldn’t need for more than 10 years, which ONE of the following do you think would be the best way to invest it—stocks, bonds, real estate, cash, gold/metals, or bitcoin/cryptocurrency?”
On the face of it, the respondents to the survey need to go back to their history books, as pointed out in a recent column by my colleague Catey Hill. Since 1890, U.S. real estate has produced an annualized return above inflation of just 0.4%, as judged by the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index and the consumer-price index. The S&P 500 SPX, -0.66% did far better, outpacing inflation at a 6.3% annualized rate .
Or take the 7-year forecast from Boston-based GMO. They are projecting that the S&P 500 will produced an inflation-adjusted total return of minus 4.2% between now and 2026, with U.S. long-term Treasury bonds losing at a rate of 1.1% annualized. But real estate’s experience during the financial crisis appears to be the exception rather than the rule. In every other stock market bear market since the 1950s, the Case-Shiller Home Price Index rose in all but one. And in that lone bear market prior to 2007 in which the index did fall, it did so by just 0.4%.
MktwHulbert When the Trump Depression hits, real estate prices will fall with the fall in qualified buyers. Like coins, the finest properties will always do well. But the average home may not fare so well.
MktwHulbert If you know what you’re doing, nothing can touch stocks when it comes to ROI. Not even close.
MktwHulbert And Bitcoin...
MktwHulbert If any of the leftist Dems currently running for President actually get elected the answer is none of them. Hide your $ wherever you can bcause they are coming after it
MktwHulbert Uh-doy! Can’t make more land. Unless you’re talking about somehow artificially creating volcanic eruptions to form islands. In which case let me get in on that
MktwHulbert human
MktwHulbert Its Bitcoin
MktwHulbert Diversification diversification diversification
MktwHulbert xrp
MktwHulbert Spoiler alert: It's $Beam beamprivacy
MktwHulbert Why not all 3?
MktwHulbert
MktwHulbert Sort of right. Real estate will be a big part of it, but specifically, it will be assisted living facilities, followed by funeral plots. There's 76 million Boomers; 10k turn 65 every day right now, and for ten more years. Think about it.
MktwHulbert Bitcoin