The yield curve between the U.S. 10-year note and 2-year note is its most flat since 2007, just points away from an inversion, while the 30-year yield has plummeted to all-time lows.
Falling yields, which move inversely to prices, suggest investors are flocking to safe haven assets such as the Treasury market on fears of a slowdown in economic growth.head of technical analysis, Ari Wald, said the 10-year Treasury yield is now its most oversold in eight years. However, he sees this as a buy signal for stocks, rather than a signal to flee.
"The stock-bond relationship has changed through time but historically speaking going back to data from 1963 such oversold conditions in terms of interest rates has been followed by above-average returns looking at the S&P 500," Wald said. "We do think that the depleted level of interest rates has made equity prices relatively attractive.
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TradingNation Historically when the Equities market is damaged like in 2009 interest rates remain low for 18 years on average We are a little over the halfway mark
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TradingNation Didnt you ppl just yesterday posted an article saying bond market is calling for recession something about yield curves. haha.
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