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The market's favorite recession indicator just flashed its biggest warning since 2007

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The yield curve inversion is 'an important signal, but it's not a very consistent signal,' said Calvin Schnure, senior economist at Nareit.

The spread between two- and 10-year Treasury yields is below zero, an occurrence that's preceded each of the last seven recessions. This so-called yield curve inversion has happened multiple times over the past couple weeks, but the spread fell on Tuesday to its most negative level since March 2007. While yield-curve inversions have preceded all recessions since 1950, when exactly a recession might occur is still unclear. Read more on Markets Insider.

The spread between two- and 10-year Treasury yields is below zero, an occurrence that's preceded each of the last seven recessions. This so-called yield curve inversion has happened multiple times over the past couple weeks, but the spread fell on Tuesday to its most negative level since March 2007. While yield-curve inversions have preceded all recessions since 1950, when exactly a recession might occur is still unclear. Read more on Markets Insider.

 

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