Banks including Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs expect subdued external debt sales from emerging countries next month, as borrowing costs at a three-year high and poor liquidity deter riskier nations from tapping the market.
While a number of junk-rated countries took advantage of low interest rates before the Federal Reserve began its aggressive tightening campaign in March, some of the big issuers are absent from the market. Brazil hasn’t sold hard-currency bonds since June last year, the longest hiatus since 2019, and other nations like Oman and Egypt also haven’t tapped overseas markets.
Similarly, Egypt issued its first yen bonds in March in a private placement, but has yet to make any public offering of foreign-currency debt this year as it grapples with a dollar shortage and the spillover effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Goldman SachsEgypt may need to secure a $15-billion package from the IMF to meet its funding requirements over the next three years, though the government is asking for a smaller amount.
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