Equity futures contracts for Hong Kong and Australia pointed to slight losses while those for Japan showed a gain. Australian bond yields opened lower, following US Treasuries with Japanese bond traders closely monitoring a sale of 20-year securities amid speculation the Bank of Japan may take steps to normalize policy.
“While the markets believe the Federal Reserve is done with its rate hiking cycle, the likelihood of another rate increase cannot be dismissed,” said Janet Mui, head of market analysis at wealth manager RBC Brewin Dolphin in London. “More importantly, the recent data releases suggest interest rates will remain high for some time.”
Markets will now look toward the European Central Bank policy meeting and upgraded inflation forecasts Thursday as evidence builds Europe is facing persistent cost pressures that’s been made worse by soaring energy prices. Money markets are pricing in an two-thirds chance the ECB raises interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, a rapid shift from earlier this month where traders were firmly in the camp rates would be held steady.
“This isn’t the goldilocks number that investors were hoping for, but markets can still trade in a range – as inflation is high enough to keep the Fed still in play — but not hot enough for a shift away from the ‘Fed is almost done’ narrative.”
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