Orange juice prices have recently climbed to fresh all-time highs, with the industry rattled by a perfect storm of climate-fueled extreme weather, persistent supply constraints and a citrus disease known as greening.
A worker at a citrus fruit farm separates the tangerines for sale on June 6, 2024 in Piedade dos Gerais, in Minas Gerais State, Brazil.that Brazil, the world's largest producer and exporter of orange juice, was likely on track to register one of its worst orange harvests in more than three decades. Bottles of Simply Orange orange juice are displayed for sale in a grocery store on September 28, 2023 in Los Angeles, California., traded on the Intercontinental Exchange in New York, closed at $4.29 per pound on Monday — nearly double the price registered a year ago.
"Restoring normal stock levels in Brazil will require several consecutive good harvests. With 40% of Brazilian plantations affected by greening disease and the risk of this number increasing, coupled with volatile climate conditions, the likelihood of achieving such harvests is low," the IFU's Cools said.
Andres Padilla, a food and agribusiness research specialist at Rabobank, said that the high incidence of citrus greening will likely limit productivity over the coming months.
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