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The one big fear that could upend the bull market

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Investment Strategy News

Stock Markets,Prices,Kamala Harris

Trivariate Research's Adam Parker explains how inflation could spoil the ongoing bull market.

A chain reaction sparked by continued inflation could put the bull market to rest, according to Trivariate Research. As the bull market enters its third year, investors are wondering how much more room there is to run before a pullback is due. In the same vein, they're wondering what — if anything — can catalyze such a correction.

Now, Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 95% likelihood of another drop to the borrowing costs at the central bank's November gathering, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In 2021 and 2022, Parker said there was a "strong and statistically significant relationship" between Fed funds futures and the price-to-earnings multiple on growth stocks.

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