The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level
Real return bonds adjust both principal and interest for inflation. If inflation goes up, you get more money back. Nice. But when everyone expects inflation, you pay a commensurately higher price ahead of time., say, a real return bond might pay 1 per cent, so you get 6 per cent after inflation adjustment; but a regular bond will pay something like 6 per cent already.
So why stop issuing real return bonds? The government may suspect that inflation will go up a lot more, and it will then have to pay more to bondholders. Non-indexed debt can be inflated away if the fiscal situation worsens. The cumulative 11-per-cent inflation since January, 2021, has inflated away 11 per cent of the debt already. Argentines have seen a lot more.
GET THE TRUDEAU GOVERNMENT OUT ...WE WANT AN ELECTION TODAY 🙂
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