Turbulent Bond Market Offers a Fleeting Glimpse of Cycle’s End

-- Bond traders got a glimpse this week of what the eventual end of the Federal Reserve’s hiking cycle may look like.Wider War in Middle East Could Tip the World Economy Into Recession

“It’s being in restrictive territory that matters,” Greg Peters, co-chief investment officer of PGIM Fixed Income, told Bloomberg Television Thursday. “The curve will continue to normalize. You’ll definitely see back-end rates moving higher, maybe there’s a little scope over the next 12 months for the front-end to move lower, but not a lot. I just think we have to move into this more normal environment.

Consumer price growth failed to moderate as much as economists estimated in September, Thursday’s data showed, while the separate inflation rate the Fed is trying to bring back to 2% quickened to 3.5% back in August. Expanded borrowing at a time of low unemployment “is a very worrying position and is really unusual at this stage of the cycle,” said Gene Tannuzzo, global head of fixed income at ColumbiaThreadneedle. He also is concerned about the potential for oil prices to keep upward pressure on inflation and long-term yields.

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Turbulent Bond Market Offers a Fleeting Glimpse of Cycle’s EndBond traders got a glimpse this week of what the eventual end of the Federal Reserve’s hiking cycle may look like.
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Stock market today: Asian markets slip as rising yields in the bond market pressure stocksHONG KONG (AP) — Asian markets slipped on Friday following a decline on Wall Street driven by mounting pressure from rising bond market yields. U.S. futures ...
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Beware the New Treasury Buyers Sparking Fear in World’s Largest Bond MarketA changing of the guard among the biggest buyers of US Treasuries has Wall Street veterans bracing for further pain in the world’s largest bond market.
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El-Erian Says Wild Bond Market Volatility Shows Loss of AnchorsThe rout in the US government bond market can be attributed to the absence of all of its anchors, according to Mohamed El-Erian.
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Stock market today: Wall Street falls as the vise tightens from rising yields in the bond marketNEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stocks slipped as the clamps tightened on Wall Street from rising yields in the bond market. The S&P 500 fell 0.6% Thursday, breaking a four-day winning streak. The Dow lost 173 points, and the Nasdaq composite gave back 0.
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