Business Maverick: Friday, April 5: Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day

Final stagesThere continue to be signs that progress is being made at trade talks between the U.S. and China in Washington this week. Later today Chinese Vice Premier Liu He will meet with President Donald Trump in the White House, with the goal over the next few days to reach an agreement on core issues which would allow a signing ceremony between Trump and China’s Xi Jinping.

Brexit agreementWell, agreement not to do something, that is. Last night lawmakers in Westminster passed a vote by a majority of one to block a potentially destructive no-deal Brexit. This means that if a stalemate on exiting the European Union persists until the April 12 deadline, British Prime Minister Theresa May will be forced to ask the EU for a long extension to the process.

German worriesThere was more bad news for German manufacturing this morning when factory orders data for February dropped 8.4 percent from a year earlier, the biggest plunge since 2009. A report issued today by the country’s five largest economic research institutes predicts expansion this year will slow to 0.8 percent, compared with a previous estimate of 1.9 percent.

Markets waitOvernight the MSCI Asia Pacific Index slipped 0.2 percent while Japan’s Topix index closed 0.1 percent lower as the yen strengthened. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index was 0.4 percent lower at 5:40 a.m. as investors awaited details from the trade talks, the ECB minutes and tomorrow’s U.S. jobs report. S&P 500 futures pointed to a small drop at the open, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 2.499 percent and gold was slightly higher.

Coming up…Initial weekly jobless claims at 8:30 a.m. will give one last look at the health of the job market ahead of tomorrow’s big number with a slight increase to 215,000 expected in today’s reading. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker speak at separate events, both at 1:00 p.m. Tesla CEO Elon Musk is due in court in Manhattan to face a SEC complaint that his tweets put him in contempt.

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