Fed's Pivot to Rate Cuts Fuels Stock Market Rally and Record Highs

We've focused on three scenarios since the start of the decade: a 1920s-style Roaring 2020s, a reprise of the 1990s stock market meltup, and a rerun of

"The FOMC had its first dissent since 2022 at this meeting. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman voted for a smaller 25bps rate cut. But the Fed's dot plot, updated in its new SEP , suggests dissent was much greater. Two participants favor not reducing rates again this year, and another seven see just one 25bps cut later this year.""We will do everything we can to support a strong labor market as we make further progress toward price stability.

We've been using a forward P/E of 21.0 to get our year-end S&P 500 targets of 5800, 6300, and 6800 for 2024, 2025, and 2026.

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Fed's Goolsbee signals support for rate cuts amid warning signs from labor marketFed's Goolsbee signals support for rate cuts amid warning signs from labor market
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Labor market to determine size of September Fed rate cuts: Deutsche BankLabor market to determine size of September Fed rate cuts: Deutsche Bank
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