An under-the-radar signal is providing crucial hints about the next stock-market crash — and trade-war turmoil could soon have it flashing red

And that's just this week's preferred market driver. If the trade war dies down, it's possible that uncertainty over the's next monetary-policy decision will take the reins and start dictating price action, like it has for much of the past 18 months.

They're significant because they indicate how investors are worried about the ability of corporate borrowers to service their debt. When spreads are wide, that's a signal of trepidation, while tight spreads show a relative lack of concern. No matter how you look at it, those types of developments are detrimental to the stock prices of those affected. Especially once the holy grail of share gains —"To the extent that a deterioration of the bond market leads to increased concerns about the outlook for equities, the willingness to pay for a dollar of earnings could move lower," DeBusschere wrote in a recent client note.

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Warning signs illustrate why it’s crucial for the stock market to hit new highs soonThe stock market needs to carve out a fresh record — and soon — or else, concludes strategist Andrew Adams. technically it has to exhale properly otherwise the fresh records won’t sustain. Let’s not push for that type of environment. :) ...Or else 🤔 You have to look at the chart move from pre-crisis levels
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More active managers are beating the stock market again thanks to the trade war: Goldman SachsMutual funds are having one of their best years since the financial crisis, with 42% of large-cap active mutual funds outperforming their benchmarks so far in 2019, well above the 34% rate averaged during the last decade
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One market expert warns these 3 'black swan' events could combine with the trade war to cause the next big stock crashVincent Deluard of INTL FCStone lays out the three 'black swan' events he thinks could strike suddenly and send stocks tumbling into a bear market.
แหล่ง: BusinessInsider - 🏆 729. / 51 อ่านเพิ่มเติม »