What The Market Expects From Upcoming Fed Meetings

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The Federal Reserve (Fed) has upcoming rate decisions on February 1, March 22 and May 3. The market expects the Fed to soon be done raising rates, and even sees a chance of a cut in 2023. The Fed disagrees.

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Come the end of the year, in November or December, the Fed expects to be holding rates steady as inflation moves back to its 2% target. In contrast, the market believes the Fed could be tempted to nudge rates lower, perhaps based on concerns around a U.S. recession. However, here the controversy here is not too great, markets only see perhaps a 1 in 3 chance that the Fed decides to cut rates, and even then, by a small amount in November or December.

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