Recession or soft landing? Economists divided as economy, labour market prove resilient

Is it now possible that North American economies, once thought destined for a stark downturn under pressure from rising interest rates, may avoid tipping into recession altogether?

The BMO economist isn’t alone in taking a more optimistic tone. South of the border, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chief economist Jan Hatzius cited factors such as China’s economic reopening, falling inflation and a milder European winter, which is taking some of the strain off that region’s energy crisis, as potentially opening a path to a soft landing.

Rosenberg said he’s noticed the definition of soft landing start to creep out to include mild recessions. “I have my concerns because there’s a lag of this ,” Rosenberg said. “That has me really concerned and nobody talks about it that the Canadian housing bubble, the price bubble, and the debt bubble was bigger than what John Crowe was dealing with in the late 1980s.”Article content

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