Despite the bearish outlook, he did say there were some parts of the market investors should own. These are the seven best quotes from his letter:"While the most extreme froth has been wiped off the market, valuations are still nowhere near their long-term averages," Grantham said."My calculations of trendline value of the S&P 500, adjusted upwards for trendline growth and for expected inflation, is about 3200 by the end of 2023.
"If we... believe a recession will likely not start for 6 months to a year... we can conclude that the final low for this market might be well into 2024.""There are some complicating factors that seem quite likely to drag this bear market out... The important fact here that for 7 months of the Presidential Cycle, from October 1st of the second year through April 30th of the third year , the returns, since 1932, equal those of the remaining 41 months of the cycle...
"For those with a longer horizon than average, say 5 years and above, I believe stocks related to addressing the problems of climate change and the increasing pressure on many raw materials have a substantial advantage over the rest of the economy as the world's governments and corporations begin to accept the urgency of these problems."
There will be no crash. The fix has been in for twenty-years. The US equity market is a a scam. Until, it’s not. Weimer-era, here we come.
JAW boner
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Source: WSJ - 🏆 98. / 63 Read more »