Sydney — A rally in Asian shares sputtered on Thursday, pressured by a pullback in Chinese stocks and higher US yields amid fears that global central banks would keep raising interest rates to combat sticky inflation.
US futures erased earlier gains, with S&P 500 stock futures falling 0.5% and Nasdaq futures down 0.7%. Overnight, both bonds and shares took a battering, as inflation indicators from Germany and the US reinforced expectations that interest rates would go higher and stay there for longer. “The PMI manufacturing data provides a mixed message for global risk appetite, with improving growth trends positive, but lower output prices stalling out,” said Alan Ruskin, macro strategist at Deutsche Bank.
Investors still mostly foresee the US Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting later this month, but expectations of a larger 50 bps hike have increased. The probability that the Fed’s policy rate, now set in the 4.5% to 4.75% range, could peak above the 5.5% range stood at 53%, compared with 41.5% on February 28, according to CME Fed tool.
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