Stocks hit a bear-market low 1 year ago. Time to celebrate?

📆 10/12/2023 12:09 PM
📰 MarketWatch

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William Watts is MarketWatch markets editor. In addition to managing markets coverage, he writes about stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, including oil. He also writes about global macro issues and trading strategies. During his time at MarketWatch, Watts has served in key roles in the Frankfurt, London, New York and Washington, D.C.

Not everyone was eager to break out the cake and champagne Thursday, which marks the first anniversary of the S&P 500’s SPX bear-market low on Oct. 12, 2022. The large-cap benchmark subsequently exited the bear market on June 8, when it closed more than 20% above the October low — meeting a widely used threshold.

In the social-media post below, Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, notes the S&P 500 has seen the weakest first-year performance for a baby bull since the recovery from the 1987 stock-market crash: Stovall noted that every S&P 500 bull market since 1949 has ended only after fully retracing its losses from the previous bear market. The current bull has retraced only 83% of its fall.

Analysts at Bespoke Investment Group put together the chart below of the 25 best- and worst-performing stocks in the large-cap Russell 1000 RUI since Oct. 12 of last year — topped of course by AI standard-bearer Nvidia Corp. NVDA, -0.39% and its 307.3% one-year return:

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