Goldman Sachs Predicts Stock Market Reaction to December Jobs Report

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Goldman Sachs Predicts Stock Market Reaction to December Jobs Report
Stock Market,Jobs Report,Federal Reserve

Goldman Sachs anticipates a range of stock market responses to the December jobs report, depending on the exact number. Economists predict a slowdown in job growth, with nonfarm payrolls potentially increasing by 155,000. Goldman Sachs strategist John Flood suggests a sweet spot for stocks between 100,000 and 125,000 jobs added, which could trigger a rally. However, stronger job growth could lead to higher interest rates, potentially harming the stock market. The report is a crucial indicator before the Federal Reserve's next meeting.

The stock market may have a wide range of reactions to Friday's December jobs, depending on the exact number, according to Goldman Sachs. The pace of jobs added to the U.S. economy is widely expected to have slowed last month. Nonfarm payrolls may have increased by 155,000 in December, down from 227,000 in November, according to economists polled by Dow Jones.

The strategist said the sweet spot for stocks is between 100,000 to 125,000, which can result in a kneejerk rally in the S & P 500 in the range of between 0.5% to 1%. Conversely, if the payroll number comes in between 175,000 to 200,000, the S & P 500 could sell off by the same amounts. A 200,000 headline number might drive down the stock market benchmark at least 1%, Flood said.

 

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