“Everyone came into the year thinking that there’s an imminent recession in the first half of 2023,” said Charlie McElligott, managing director, cross-asset strategy at Nomura Securities. “They got caught off guard because there’s much more resilient domestic and global growth.”Investors’ resolve can be seen in the resilience of the Nasdaq Composite Index, home to many of the tech and growth stocks that were particularly sensitive to higher yields last year, when it registered a 33% loss.
Many also believe that a recession has been delayed but not avoided. A severe downturn could await in the second half of the year, especially if rebounding inflation forces the Fed to keep rates at a higher level for longer to cool prices. Rising yields have also arrested a decline in the U.S. dollar, which tumbled from a two-decade high in the latter half of 2022 but is now up nearly 3% from its low of the year against a basket of currencies. A stronger dollar tends to hurt the profits of U.S. multinationals and exporters.
Lara Reinhard, senior portfolio strategist at Janus Henderson Investors, is avoiding technology and growth stocks but focusing on shares of companies that pay out dividends as a hedge against inflation.
Lmfao
BIDENFLATION
No, the Fed is just finally on their game. You can’t mess up two years, scramble to fix it the third year, and then just sit on your hands and wait and see. Need to have a contingency plan just in case. The Fed had failed, fixed the mistake, and is trying to show its relevancy
There will eventually be a recession, you won't know it until we're in it.
Like with a car, you need to know how to drive it, otherwise you crash at the first curve, then the baloon come out.
Arriadna You had to add, 'Fed casts shadow?' Always planting that seed of doubt, aren't you? StrongEconomy StrongerTogether FreshWords
Just because the rich are still getting richer doesn't mean we're are not In a recession
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Source: MarketWatch - 🏆 3. / 97 Read more »