IHME's report suggests that the current surge in COVID-19 infections in Germany might be due to Omicron subvariants BQ.1 or BQ.1.1, and will likely spread to other parts of Europe in the coming weeks.IHME's report suggests that the current surge in COVID-19 infections in Germany might be due to Omicron subvariants BQ.1 or BQ.1.1, and will likely spread to other parts of Europe in the coming weeks.
It forecast that global daily deaths would average 2 748 people on February 1 compared with around 1 660 now. A surge in Germany has peaked already, it said in its report on October 24, and expects cases to fall by more than a third to around 190 000 by February. The report adds that the rapid increase in hospital admissions in Germany – highest since the COVID outbreak in 2020 – remains an area of concern.