Running on 'hopium': Explaining the market rally in Wall Street's terms

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Risk assets such as stocks and high-yield corporate bonds have climbed over the past two-and-a-half months despite a dire global economic outlook in the wake of the novel coronavirus pandemic.

The rally has left some market observers scratching their heads but has also given rise to a bundle of jargon - some old, some new - attempting to explain recent trends. Here’s a guide to what’s driving financial markets now, in Wall Street’s own words.One key factor in Wall Street’s climb, strategists say, is the unprecedented monetary support from the Federal Reserve, including purchases of corporate bonds and exchange-traded funds.

“Every time the stock market starts to sell off, the Federal Reserve responds with some accommodative policy,” said Mike O’Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading.As markets keep climbing, more people are being prodded to jump in. Retail investors unexpectedly increased their stock exposure throughout the selloff and rally, and some institutional investors are now following suit, Deutsche Bank strategists wrote earlier this month.

“We have some good news coming in now, so investors are scrambling to grab equities again,” said Andre Bakhos, managing director at New Vines Capital.After hitting a four-year low in March, prices of the riskiest U.S. corporate bonds have been driven higher alongside stocks by FOMU, or fear of massive underperformance, said William Zox, portfolio manager at Diamond Hill Capital Management.

But investors haven’t been put off by the notion of overvalued stocks. According to one popular line of thought, that’s because “there is no alternative,” or TINA. Bond yields have shrunk as central banks worldwide have slashed interest rates.Optimism that the U.S. economy will quickly rebound after a forced shuttering of businesses has also lifted stocks. Several sentiment indicators, including the Conference Board’s consumer confidence survey, reflect an increasingly rosy view.

“I think there is a heck of a lot of hope and the assumption, to some degree, that the recovery will be pretty sharp,” she said.Shares of several companies that cater to homebound consumers have been resilient this year. Videoconferencing company Zoom Communications Inc’s (

 

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I thought it was centralbankQEium.

14? That’s kinda racist amirite

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