The jobs report will move markets in the week ahead as stocks enter the second half riding high

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The monthly jobs report is the highlight in the coming week, as June winds down and markets start the second half of the year.

but below the forecasts of several months ago that payroll creation would be rolling along with monthly gains of 1 million or more.

Paulsen said he expects the S&P 500 could hit 4,500 before pulling back later in the year to finish at about 4,100.Johnson: If inflation pressures are indeed transitory, you could see the market continue to work its way higher"My attitude now is it's a very hard tape to fight, and it takes a lot of fortitude to do so, but you're at a point where it's a lot cheaper to hedge than it has been," said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers.

If the Fed announces it will taper its bond purchases in the next several months, it would be expected to wait several months more before it starts the process. Then it could take many more months to take the $120 billion in monthly purchases to zero. The unwind of that policy is especially important since it could be a precursor to the Fed raising interest rates.

Tech stocks were up 2.3% for the week and 9.3% for the quarter so far, after being out of favor when yields were moving higher in March. According to Dow Jones, economists expect 83,000 payrolls were created in June and the unemployment rate fell to 5.7% from 5.8%. But the market is also looking to see if the data reveals anything new about inflation and whether it could be transitory, or temporary, as the Fed has stated.

 

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Today stock prices are not driven by economic data, just by traders' conviction that the Fed will continue to buy the same amount of bonds and that inflation is supposedly 'temporary.'.. although nobody understands that it is permanent and that it is temporary for these gentlemen

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