Bank of England fails to ease Britain’s market ructions

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The UK’s central bank said it wouldn’t rush through an emergency interest-rate increase, prompting another bond and sterling sell-off.

The British government 10-year bond yield soared to levels not seen since the global financial crisis in 2008, while the sterling shed more than US2¢ in late European trading after the BoE’s statement on Monday .plans for £45 billion of debt-funded tax cuts,

The pound had earlier rallied as some traders bet the BoE would unfurl an interest-rate increase before November, to put a floor under the sterling’s slide and to signal its cast-iron commitment to killing off Britain’s double-digit inflation. Mr Kwarteng’s team also promised to let the independent Office of Budget Responsibility run its slide rule over the figures at that point, having refused to submit to this scrutiny when the tax cuts and £70 billion debt-raising plans were announced on Friday.Capital Economics’ chief UK economist Paul Dales said the BoE and the government had so far done only “the bare minimum” - and it was “hard to know if this will be enough”.

The market’s assessment is that he is stimulating demand, not supply, which will spur inflation and force the BoE to raise interest rates even further, and potentially faster, than previous planned. “The UK is faced with a plethora of problems at the moment, from a deteriorating growth backdrop to an energy crisis which shows no signs of easing from a geopolitical perspective. Fiscal support will not solve these underlying issues.“To top it all off, as a deficit nation, the UK relies on foreign funding to support its debt load, which is about to grow substantially, and these foreigners will demand a higher and higher risk premium for what is a deteriorating credit.

 

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