Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market

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Nick Baker is CoinDesk’s deputy editor-in-chief and a Loeb Award winner. He owns more than $1,000 of BTC and SOL.

Donald Trump's odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have surged to a more than two-month high on the leading prediction market, Polymarket.Trump's chances have risen to levels last seen days after President Joe Biden said he wouldn't seek reelection, clearing the way for his vice president to take over., which just recently won permission to list contracts based on U.S. elections, also shows Trump in the lead over Harris: 52% to 48%.

Polymarket is not technically available to Americans, though VPN users likely sidestep that restriction. Kalshi and PredictIt are allowed in the U.S., however.. CoinDesk has adopted a set of principles aimed at ensuring the integrity, editorial independence and freedom from bias of its publications. CoinDesk is part of the Bullish group, which owns and invests in digital asset businesses and digital assets.

 

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