What does Friday's jobs report mean for the market? 'Too hot' and stocks could tumble, says market pro

  • 📰 MarketWatch
  • ⏱ Reading Time:
  • 56 sec. here
  • 2 min. at publisher
  • 📊 Quality Score:
  • News: 26%
  • Publisher: 97%

Brasil Notícia Notícia

Brasil Últimas Notícias,Brasil Manchetes

Friday’s monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.

With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession,

“The labor market needs to show signs that it’s on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs—and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that’s not good for stocks,” wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.

“Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,” said Essaye. “Practically, this would increase the chances the ‘terminal’ fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.”

The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high TMUBMUSD02Y, 3.524% at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.270% climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.‘Just Right’ However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.

 

Obrigado pelo seu comentário. Seu comentário será publicado após ser revisado.
Resumimos esta notícia para que você possa lê-la rapidamente. Se você se interessou pela notícia, pode ler o texto completo aqui. Consulte Mais informação:

 /  🏆 3. in BR

Brasil Últimas Notícias, Brasil Manchetes

Similar News:Você também pode ler notícias semelhantes a esta que coletamos de outras fontes de notícias.

These stocks will help you craft a bear-market survivor strategy, says this adviserOur call of the day from RIA Advisors' Micheal Lebowitz says his simple bear market wealth strategy is what investors need right now. I’m increasing my contributions currently and adding to various REITs while the yields ar over 10% and dripping them. Once inflation comes down they will have a lot of pricing upside as the portfolio spread will become accretive. Hmm he said to Sell then? Seems to have Missed something If market watch is Bearish, I’m bullish.
Fonte: MarketWatch - 🏆 3. / 97 Consulte Mais informação »

Job market gains momentum in July despite recession signals elsewhereThe U.S. economy had about 11.2 million open jobs in July, the latest sign of strength in a historically strong labor market.
Fonte: WEWS - 🏆 323. / 59 Consulte Mais informação »