Bear market still has more pain to inflict before it bottoms, history shows

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Was Oct. 12 the market bottom? Bespoke Investment's analysis implies otherwise.

Data analyzed by Bespoke Investment Group shows that stocks' current bear market may need to take another leg lower before rebounding. The S & P 500 's decline over the past six months is "tame" compared to the final six months of previous market downturns, according to Bespoke's analysis of the nine prior times since 1928 that the S & P dropped more than 25% from an all-time high.

"You can lose a hand trying to catch a falling knife, so for most investors, aggressively buying into a decline is not advisable since steep losses can quickly cascade into something a lot worse. However, just as going 'all-in' when faced with a steep decline may be considered reckless, getting 'all-out' until things 'settle down' is probably just as unwise.

 

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