Investors are banking on rate cuts to extend the stock market's gains. Here's why their hopes could be dashed.

The stock market and the bond market have priced in multiple interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year and next. Still, industry watchers don't think a rate cut will come in June. Cuts have not always been positive for the stock market. The Fed will likely hold off lowering rates until after the G20 summit, where there might be progress on trade talks between the US and China. Read more on the Markets Insider homepage.

The stock market and the bond market have priced in multiple interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year and next. Still, industry watchers don't think a rate cut will come in June. Cuts have not always been positive for the stock market. The Fed will likely hold off lowering rates until after the G20 summit, where there might be progress on trade talks between the US and China. Read more on the Markets Insider homepage.

Economic data does not support a rate cut. Especially relevant given Trump's tariff plays. Sabotaging the global business climate dies not warrant action by the fed.

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