Surging Transport Stocks On Brink Of Further Upside, Buoyed By Reopening Economy, Tight Capacity

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While trucking and railway stocks have surged over the past year, some analysts see further upside in the transport sector as the U.S. economy continues to reopen and strengthen

, thereby boosting demand for freight, while a new round of stimulus should push up spending on goods.Education Images/Universal Images Group via Getty ImagesSince recent lows of Mar. 15, 2020, the iShares Transportation Average ETF – which holds major railway, freight, transport stocks – has more than doubled in value, outpacing the 70% jump by the S&P 500 index over that time.

In a recent research report, UBS transportation analyst Tom Wadewitz said he saw a “perfect storm” of positive fundamentals for the transport sector – including favorable freight demand, tight capacity, inventory rebuilding and a steady stream of stimulus money to pump up goods spending. Canadian Pacific Railway announced a $29 billion dealWadewitz said in a research note Monday that the Canadian Pacific- Kansas City Southern merger was a “great fit” and would create the first U.S.

Wadewitz is especially bullish on Canadian Pacific, small freight carrier Old Dominion Freight Line and XPO logistics, a transportation and contract logistics company. Walter Spracklin, an analyst at RBC Capital in Toronto, said in a research report Monday that the “unparalleled network” of the combined Canadian Pacific-Kansas City Southern railway will provide significant new opportunities for the broader transport of grain, fertilizer, autos and crude oil, while reducing Canadian Pacific’s Canada exposure from 76% to 53% and raising its exposure to the U.S. and Mexico .

 

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