How long does it take for a rate rise to hit the housing market?

  • 📰 theage
  • ⏱ Reading Time:
  • 70 sec. here
  • 3 min. at publisher
  • 📊 Quality Score:
  • News: 31%
  • Publisher: 77%

Business News News

Business Business Latest News,Business Business Headlines

AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver says that historically, changes to the cash rate had taken months to have an effect, but the lag has now narrowed Domaincomau

Sydney’s preliminary auction clearance rate dropped to 58.5 per cent on Saturday, Domain Group data shows, while Melbourne’s rate fell to 60.1 per cent.AMP Capital chief economist Dr Shane Oliver said the lag has narrowed as very high prices and debt-to-income ratios made the market more sensitive to interest rate changes.

Record-low fixed mortgage rates had been a key driver of the boom, Oliver said, making up a far greater share of lending than usually seen. But they had bottomed out last year and climbed rapidly since, reducing borrowing power ahead of any official cash rate hike.“New buyers are ending up with far less capacity to pay than a year ago, and that’s even though we’ve only seen one move by the RBA. I think the impact will show up a lot faster [as a result].

“The momentum leading into the tightening cycle will impact how quickly the [cash rate] hikes will show up … some of the other capitals have had quite strong momentum until recently, so [the market] might stay a little stronger there for longer, but certainly in Sydney and Melbourne we will see impacts on some measure like auction clearance rate straight away,” he said.

Rising rates reduce buyers’ borrowing and spending power, therefore reducing prices, Aird said. However, buyers were also likely to pull back on what they were prepared to spend on homes in a cooling market, and more may decide to sit on the sidelines as prices pulled back, resulting in further price falls.

“Market dynamics have shifted. It’s a different environment with fewer buyers, and people are now only moving if they have a legitimate reason [such as upsizing or downsizing], and are a bit more cautious,” he said.

 

Thank you for your comment. Your comment will be published after being reviewed.
Please try again later.
We have summarized this news so that you can read it quickly. If you are interested in the news, you can read the full text here. Read more:

 /  🏆 8. in BUSİNESS

Business Business Latest News, Business Business Headlines

Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.

How long does it take for a rate rise to hit the housing market?Experts say the historic lag between an interest rate change and its effect on the market is shortening.
Source: smh - 🏆 6. / 80 Read more »

Has the interest rate rise broken Australia’s housing market fever?Prices remain high, but the days of frenzied auction bidding may be numbered with the recent interest rate hike and a slowing market Doubtful. Only thing that will break it is changing negative gearing forcing investors with 3+ houses to sell them. Otherwise its businesses as usual
Source: GuardianAus - 🏆 1. / 98 Read more »