Recession outlook good news: Companies hiring less, avoiding layoffs

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The Great Resignation is ending, and the Great Firing may never begin. That's good news if you're worried about a recession.

The Great Resignation was fun while it lasted, but the party for job seekers may be coming to an end.Fewer job openings might sound bad, but after months of a jobs glut and not enough workers, a decline means mismatch might be closing. That could result in more clarity for policymakers, companies, and job seekers alike.

"If there are 100 chairs and 50 workers, workers are cool, man!" Pollak said."All the way down to 51, things are still fine. There's a tipping point at which suddenly it's not that much of a game anymore, and job seekers are a bit more desperate to take the first job that's out there." in the form of higher unemployment and slower wage growth. But the recent drop in job openings suggests the labor market could normalize without widespread job loss.

As that urgency fades a little, so do the openings. Pollak said that would also probably lead to quits breaking even, since they're so high because of just how many job openings there are. Even so, she added, quits are likely to stay permanently higher than the precrisis norm because remote work makes it easier to switch to a new role.b openings — and they probably won't get laid off either.

On the worker side, that can feel a bit like visiting Willy Wonka's chocolate factory. There's supposed to be an abundance of jobs and opportunities around them — they just can't seem to touch or reach them.

 

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..probably propaganda, but it's good hope anyways....

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